This Year’s Mayhem Predicted in 2010

A specialist in the field of cultural evolution and historical dynamics Professor Peter Turchin, predicted ten years ago the start of 2020 would usher in a period of major social upheaval marked by mayhem and widespread civil unrest.

“They had no reason to believe I wasn’t crazy back in 2010” he recently told Time Magazine.

“People did not understand that I was making scientific predictions, not prophecies.”

His prediction was featured in the journal Nature in 2010.

Turchin started by studying data from both violent and peaceful anti-government demonstrations involving at least 100 people between 1780 and 2010, a period of 230 years.

However, America has experienced stretches of turmoil about every 50 years between 1870, during heightened tensions of the Reconstruction Era, and 1970, in the aftermath of Martin Luther King Jr.’s assassination when women and many minority groups were fighting for equality amid protests against the ongoing Vietnam War.

So it could be deduced from the data that the country was due for another biggie in 2020.

He said that there were “many signs” chaos would begin then because a lot of it related to instability caused by “declining wages, wealth inequality and exploding national debt.”

“As a scientist, I feel vindicated. But on the other hand, I am an American and have got to live through these hard times,” he said.

With the Corona-virus pandemic making the economic outlook so much worse, this coupled with regular violent disorder may lead to Civil War the professor told Time.

Notice he’s not even touching on the volatile political undercurrents from the ‘70’s till now so when that’s factored in the equation, the result is …………. dynamite.

Turchin says societal crises triggered when pent-up pressures seek an outlet, can typically last for five to 15 years.

If the underlying roots of unrest are not properly addressed, turbulent events are easily set off again.